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About Winning Notrump Leads
Product Description To discover which opening lead is best from a given West hand against a particular auction, the authors use computer software to generate 5000 deals that match the North-South bidding. (The West hand remains the same and the other three hands are chosen randomly.) The software then plays these deals automatically, seeing which of the 13 possible opening leads works best at both IMPs (rubber bridge/Chicago) and match-point pairs. By analysing the results, the authors pass on to the reader the secrets of finding the best lead against notrump contracts on a wide range of different auctions. From the Author Writing this book, with my long-time friend and previous bridge partner Taf Anthias, required way more effort than most of my other books. We spent over a year running computer simulations, accumulating the results and deciding which lead problems to include in the book. When we spotted an unexpected result, for example a doubleton or singleton lead being rated best against 3NT, we tried to analyse the reason for this. It involved wading through the many thousands of 52-card deals in the simulation output, trying to determine why a particular lead was working better than others. OK, it was hard work, but it was also great fun to be writing a book that was so different from anything that had been done before. The publisher did not think that there would be a wide audience for such an academic book. He was very surprised, as we have been, at the book's success. Yesterday, more than a year after the book's publication, it was ranked 3rd in Amazon USA's Bridge Top 100 listing. Hurray! At the start of this month (November 2012) Masterpoint Press published our 'Winning Suit Contract Leads'. This follows exactly the same format as 'Winning Notrump Leads'. It investigates the best leads against suit part-scores, games, small slams and grand slams. Again we found many surprising results. For example, leads from a doubleton (particularly two low cards) were much more highly rated than most players would expect. Leads from a jack were not so bad as everyone says. Trump leads were generally quite awful. Should you lead an ace against a small slam? You will have to read the book to find out!
